There is a line from the old TV show, The Honeymooners, which I still use when explaining the need for research to accompany a real estate project proposal. It's from the time that Ralph wants money for a business idea and Alice reminds him about the time he invested in a parking lot across the street from a new movie theater. "People will be going to the movies, and they will need a place to park", she says. His classic response of "How did I know they were building a drive-in?" is hysterically funny. It also brings out the point about doing your homework.
One thing about real estate development is that not everyone is on your side. It may be for selfish or competitive reasons, environmental, financial, or even some sort of personal grudge. It's the way things are. Another element of real estate development is, of course, having thorough and excellent research, whether it has to do with the numbers to make the project work or regarding surrounding conditions, demographics, and/or other real estate projects.
I'm always asking my clients, connections, and coaching students to consider "what could go wrong" as much as the positives when a new opportunity is under consideration. Since some projects take months or years to get to fruition, it is important to keep asking questions and adding or updating information as conditions change.
The below linked article is a classic example of what can happen as time passes and conditions change. It is about how a major hotel project for Los Angeles wound up being canceled after years went by because of a lawsuit. What makes this significant is that, as the story reveals, the lawsuit was brought by a competitor of the developer that now lost out on the project.
It is easy to cast an evil eye toward a developer that would do such a thing. That judgement is for another place and time. The point here is that the competitor did their homework and was able to use their valuable research to prevent a direct competitor from starting up in the near future. That information had nothing to do with the logistics of their already operating real estate investment. However, by investigating something which could negatively impact the long-term success of their project, they came up with information which likely means many thousands of dollars more for their bottom line. Some people see this as screwing a competitor, while others seeing it as utilizing research to protect a multi-million dollar investment.
Even if another investor is able to overcome the environmental and other challenges stemming from the lawsuit, the "competing" investor would have years to plan or update their exit strategy if they wish to do so.
Another reminder that more than just the numbers need to work for a large scale real estate investment or project to work successfully.